Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks

 Toronto has alternated wins and losses over the past six games with the latest being a 124-120, triple-overtime victory as a 2.5-point road underdog at the Miami Heat Saturday. The Raptors are 3-4 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Atlanta is on a 7-game winning streak (7-0 ATS). The Hawks beat the Los Angeles Lakers 129-121 Sunday as 7.5-point home favorites.

Toronto has a significant edge in transition basketball and should have more possessions than Atlanta, which usually means more points.

The Raptors get out in transition at the fifth-highest rate and are third in fast-break points per game (PPG). Meanwhile, Atlanta has the worst transition defensive efficiency in the NBA

Both teams have top-five offensive turnover rates, but the Raptors force the highest rate of turnovers in the NBA and the Hawks rank 28th in defensive-turnover rate.

Also, this is a much better spot for Toronto since Atlanta is 5-7 SU when playing with a rest disadvantage with a minus-2.7 margin of victory and 3-5 ATS on the second of a back-to-back with a minus-3.5 margin of victory.

The Hawks are second in adjusted-offensive rating and the Raptors perform well versus top-10 offenses.

Toronto is sixth in adjusted-net rating versus top-10 offenses with the fifth-best ATS margin at plus-2.9

And about Over/Under. The Over has cashed in five of the past six Raptors-Hawks meetings and Toronto is 10-2 O/U when playing on a rest advantage with a plus-12.8 total margin.

Also, the assigned officiating crew for this game has a combined 44-40 O/U record.